Fair Value — Stock Valuation Dashboard for Excel

Estimate what any stock is really worth in 10 minutes — DCF, Comparables & scenario analysis in one guided Excel workbook. No Bloomberg terminal, no finance degree.Is that stock actually cheap — or does it just look cheap?Most retail investors buy on a story, a headline, or a price chart. Professional analysts do something different: they estimate what a business is worth, compare it to what it costs, and only then decide.Fair Value gives you that exact discipline, in a single Excel workbook, without the complexity of institutional models.What it doesEnter one year of financials (about 5 minutes on free sites like stockanalysis.com — the workbook tells you exactly where to find each number). The model then:✅ Values the company 3 independent ways — 10-year Discounted Cash Flow, Comparable multiples (P/E and EV/EBITDA), and the Gordon-PER model✅ Blends them into one weighted fair value — with editable weights, and a built-in safeguard that automatically excludes the Gordon method when a company's ROE is distorted (heavy buybacks, low book equity) so one broken input never wrecks your estimate✅ Stress-tests your thesis — Bear / Base / Bull scenarios generated automatically from your base assumptions✅ Scores business quality — an 8-question Buffett-style scorecard (moat, ROIC, FCF consistency, debt, dilution, capital allocation…)✅ Shows the verdict on one screen — a dashboard with a football field chart plotting every method's range against today's market price. Undervalued or overvalued, you see it instantly✅ Forces you to write it down — a structured Investment Thesis template: why buy, what could go wrong, entry price, final decision. The step most investors skip — and regretWhat's inside 📖 README — 10-minute quick start + free data sources for every input 📝 Input Data — one guided input sheet, ~20 numbers total 📊 Dashboard — weighted fair value, margin of safety, football field chart 🎯 Scenarios — Bear / Base / Bull side by side ✅ Quality Score — 8-criteria business quality scorecard 📝 Investment Thesis — structured decision memo Fully worked Apple (AAPL) example pre-loaded, so you see exactly how it works before analyzing your own stock Every formula is protected against accidental edits. Input cells are clearly marked. No macros, no add-ins, no subscriptions — just Excel.Who it's for Long-term / value-oriented investors who want a repeatable process instead of gut feeling Beginners who want to learn valuation by doing it on real companies Anyone tired of buying stocks without being able to answer "what is it worth?" Who it's NOT forHonest limits — this model is not suited for: Pre-revenue, loss-making, or early-stage companies (DCF needs positive free cash flow) Banks, insurers, and REITs (they require specialized models) Day traders — this is a fundamentals tool, not a trading signal RequirementsMicrosoft Excel 2016 or later (Windows / Mac). Also works in Google Sheets and LibreOffice (minor visual differences possible).⚠ Disclaimer: This workbook is an educational analysis tool. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. All outputs depend on your inputs and assumptions. Always verify data against primary sources (10-K filings, earnings reports) and consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions. Investing involves risk of loss.

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