🤖 Polymarket BTC 15m Dual-Bid Arbitrage Bot (Python)
🤖 Polymarket BTC 15m Dual-Bid Arbitrage Bot (Python)What if you could profit from a BTC prediction market — regardless of which direction BTC moves?This bot does exactly that.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⚡ THE STRATEGY━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━Polymarket's BTC 15-minute markets have two tokens: UP and DOWN. At resolution, one pays $1.00 and the other pays $0.00. The key rule: they always sum to ~$1.00.This bot exploits that rule:→ Posts a resting bid on the UP token @ 0.40→ Posts a resting bid on the DOWN token @ 0.40→ Combined cost = $0.80→ Payout = $1.00 guaranteed→ Profit = $0.20 per unit — no matter which way BTC movesWhen both bids fill, the result is locked. BTC can go up, down, sideways — you still win.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🧠 PHASE 2 SIGNAL SYSTEM━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━The bot doesn't just sit and wait. After 5 minutes of observation, a built-in signal engine evaluates real-time BTC momentum using:• Chainlink BTC/USD oracle (same source Polymarket uses for resolution)• Binance trade stream for tick-by-tick volatility• Macro regime detection (UPTREND / DOWNTREND / SIDEWAYS)If only one side filled and the signal detects strong directional momentum, the bot automatically adjusts — either hedging the open side or switching to a directional bet. If no fills, it can cancel and go directional or skip the window entirely.This is not a simple script. It's a multi-phase strategy with real signal intelligence.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━🔧 BUILT & LIVE-TESTED━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━This is v37 of a bot I actively trade with. It has been iterated through dozens of real-money sessions on Polymarket. The bugs have been found and fixed through live trading — not theory.Infrastructure includes:• 4 WebSocket connections (orderbook, fills, BTC price, Binance trades)• Instant fill detection via authenticated Polymarket user channel• Automatic order cancellation on shutdown (Ctrl+C, crashes, OS signals)• Daily P&L tracking that persists across restarts (pnl_log.json)• Gnosis Safe wallet support (--sig 2)• Paper trading mode for safe testing before going live━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━💡 WHAT $49.99 ACTUALLY GETS YOU━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━This isn't just a bot. It's the result of months of live trading on Polymarket — the lessons learned, the bugs hit, the strategies refined through real money and real markets.When you buy this, you get:→ A working strategy you can run todayNot a backtest, not a concept. A live-tested bot that has traded real USDC on Polymarket's BTC markets.→ Deep understanding of how Polymarket prediction markets moveBy reading the code and running it, you'll learn exactly how these markets are priced, how liquidity flows, when arb opportunities appear, and how the orderbook behaves in real time. This knowledge is worth far more than $49.99 on its own.→ A foundation to build your own strategiesThe infrastructure is all here — WebSocket feeds, order placement, fill detection, position tracking, P&L logging. You can modify the Config, adjust the bid prices, change the signal thresholds, or use this codebase as the foundation for an entirely different strategy.→ Real insight into on-chain prediction market mechanicsYou'll see how Polymarket resolves markets using Chainlink oracle prices, how Gnosis Safe wallets interact with the CLOB, and how maker/taker dynamics work in practice. This is hands-on education that no course or tutorial provides.For $49.99 you're not just buying code — you're buying a shortcut through months of trial and error, and a platform to start building from.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━📦 WHAT'S INCLUDED━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━✅ bot.py — complete source code, clean and well-commented✅ .env.example — environment variable template✅ README.md — beginner-friendly setup guide from scratch to liveThe README covers:→ How the math works (with real profit examples)→ Full install instructions→ EOA wallet setup (MetaMask)→ Gnosis Safe wallet setup→ How to read the logs→ Config parameters explained→ Troubleshooting common issues━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⚙️ REQUIREMENTS━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━• Python 3.9+• A Polymarket account with USDC on Polygon• Basic terminal / command line familiarity• That's it — the README walks you through everything else━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⚠️ DISCLAIMER━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━Sold as-is. No support provided. No profit is guaranteed — fills depend on market conditions and are never certain. If only one side fills, you hold a directional position that can win or lose. This is prediction market trading and carries real financial risk. Only trade with funds you can afford to lose.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━$49.99 — one-time purchase, yours forever.
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